As a result of the crisis, a very perceptible consolidation process in the German financial sector is underway. In many banks jobs are being shed to reduce costs. Although the financial centre of Frankfurt will not be able to resist this development completely, there are many factors that should militate against a drastic staff reduction in the local financial sector. As a consequence, it can be assumed that there will be a moderate adjustment process, which will be spread over many years. By the end of 2014, we anticipate that employment in the German financial centre will decline by around 2 % to approximately 73,000 banking staff. That would mean that there will most likely be a loss of around another 1,500 jobs in Frankfurt’s bank towers and that the number of redundancies resulting from the crisis would only just top the 3,000 mark. This shows how well the financial centre of Frankfurt has come through the crisis, in particular when com-pared to other countries. Its significance as the German financial centre and as a European hub of financial supervision is growing. On the flipside of these opportunities for positioning itself in the international competition among financial centres are the risks of overregulation.
The financial centre of Frankfurt is increasingly sharpening its profile as the European hub of financial supervision. In the current development of the European system of regulation and supervision, Germany’s leading financial centre, which is already the location of a number of supervisory institutions, has a crucial role to play. Read more
- Frankfurt’s position in competition with international financial centres strengthened
- Crisis-induced consolidation not concluded yet
- Slight decline in banking sector employment by end of 2016
The establishment of the European banking supervision and the creation of the first renminbi trading centre in the euro area have provided a lasting boost to Frankfurt’s position as a financial centre. “This is also reflected in employment in the banking sector”, explains Dr. Gertrud R. Traud, Helaba’s Chief Economist. “The expansion of the European Central Bank to become the principal supervisory authority for banks in Europe has, by itself, led to the creation of around 1000 new jobs in Frankfurt’s financial sector. Although the consolidation process in the industry has not been completed yet, overall we only anticipate a modest decline in employment by the end of 2016, of approximately 2 per cent, to slightly more than 60,000 bank employees”, Traud added. On the other hand, for Germany as a whole, a dwindling branch network can be expected to lead to more extensive job losses.
In comparison to other European banking centres, Frankfurt – where bank employment was only 4 per cent below its pre-crisis level – ranks in the middle of the pack. In London’s financial services industry, most recent figures even show a slight rise in staff levels than in 2008 (+1 per cent), while the financial district of Paris experienced significant personnel reductions (-7 per cent). In this regard, the German financial centre came through the crisis relatively unscathed.
With its wide variety of qualities as a location, Frankfurt remains an internationally attractive financial centre. After a slight crisis-related dip, the number of banks is growing once again. In the third quarter of 2013, 193 banks had established headquarters in Frankfurt. On the other hand, the number of representative offices of foreign banks appears to be declining, while the number of operating branches seems to be on the rise.
- Long-term opportunities for Frankfurt as a renminbi hub
- Helaba survey of Chinese banks confirms qualities as a location
- Essential to pull together in supporting Sino-German financial centre relationship
China’s decision to choose Frankfurt as the first offshore clearing location outside of Asia is a strong signal to the financial community. But as Dr. Gertrud R. Traud, Helaba’s Chief Economist, explains, “There is still a long way to go before a real renminbi hub is established. Currently, it is more of a stylish-looking feature on Frankfurt’s Chinese outfit.” If local players in the financial centre continue consistently pulling together on this issue, the German financial centre has good chances in the long term of attaining a particular significance for the Chinese currency.
Helaba has conducted a survey among large banks from China located in Frankfurt in order to investigate the central qualities that the city possesses as a location and its significance for Chinese players. In analysing the survey, it was apparent that the global expansion of China offers a variety of opportunities for the leading German financial centre. Frankfurt enjoys an excellent reputation in the financial world and acts as a powerful magnet to international players – and to those from China, too. In this regard, Frankfurt has the unbeatable advantage of being the financial centrepiece of a globally significant economy, which is closely intertwined with the Middle Kingdom. With their branches in Frankfurt and Shanghai/Beijing, a number of commercial banks also make a significant contribution towards fostering closer ties between the financial centres.
The journey of Chinese banks to the German financial centre began as early as 25 years ago. In the meantime, each of them employs around 30 to 150 people. Their operations are focussed on trade finance activities between the two large economies and, in this respect, having an office in Frankfurt is indispensable for their business. Chinese banks want to be active at the heart of the banking district as well as in immediate proximity to other institutions from their home country. The various qualities Frankfurt possesses as a location, which had emerged from previous financial centre surveys, were confirmed. In summing up the results of the new study, Traud says, “If the ties between German and Chinese financial centres continue to be supported with such commitment, Frankfurt will move upwards together with China”.
CFS Index: Financial institutions expecting decline in revenues and earnings, despite positive quarterly results
The CFS Index, which measures the business climate of the German financial industry on a quarterly basis, edges down 0.9 points to 112.9 points. The expectations deviate strongly from the current positive situation of the surveyed financial institutions and service providers. The firms’ revenues and business volume are significantly increasing. On the other hand, the financial institutions in particular are anticipating a strong decline in the current quarter. However, the investment volume is to remain almost unchanged. Job cuts at the financial institutions are also proving more modest than expected. The score of 100 on the jobs parameter now indicates a neutral sentiment, following significant personnel reductions in 2015. Read more
„The presence of regulatory authorities in Frankfurt strengthens not only the finance industry but also the infrastructure of the Financial Centre. Frankfurt’s reputation as a regulatory hub is further augmented by European Supervisory Authorities selecting the Financial Centre as their home.“
„The Financial Centre Frankfurt is an important factor for both the economy of Hessen and Germany. Sustainable growth, competitive small and medium enterprises and long-term infrastructure projects are all made possible by a strong financial sector. Therefore, the State of Hesse supports the Financial Centre’s initiative Frankfurt Main Finance and will go to great lengths to ensure that the financial sector fulfills its economic function in contributing to the public good.“
„Frankfurt’s strengths lie in the closely intertwined relationship between the real and financial economy that has grown over many years.“
17 City Partnerships
are maintained by the City of Frankfurt.
of the rented office space in Frankfurt is used by financial services providers.